Contribution of Land Water Storage Change to Regional Sea-Level Rise Over the Twenty-First Century
نویسندگان
چکیده
Change in Land Water Storage (LWS) is one of the main components driving sea-level rise over twenty-first century. LWS alteration results from both human activities and climate change. Up to now, all change are usually quantified upon a certain scenario except land water changes. Here, we propose improve this by analyzing contribution regional considering five Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models forced three different Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) greenhouse gas emission scenarios. For analysis, used output global hydrological resources model, PCR-GLOBWB 2, order project patterns. Projections ensemble means indicate range LWS-driven with larger differences projections among than between Our suggest that will contribute around 10% projected mean end Contribution be considerably several regions, up 60% higher average rise, including Pacific islands, south coast Africa west Australia.
منابع مشابه
Contribution of climate-driven change in continental water storage to recent sea-level rise.
Using a global model of continental water balance, forced by interannual variations in precipitation and near-surface atmospheric temperature for the period 1981-1998, we estimate the sea-level changes associated with climate-driven changes in storage of water as snowpack, soil water, and ground water; storage in ice sheets and large lakes is not considered. The 1981-1998 trend is estimated to ...
متن کاملImpacts and responses to sea-level rise: a global analysis of the SRES scenarios over the twenty-first century.
Taking the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) climate and socio-economic scenarios (A1FI, A2, B1 and B2 'future worlds'), the potential impacts of sea-level rise through the twenty-first century are explored using complementary impact and economic analysis methods at the global scale. These methods have never been explored together previously. In all scenarios, the exposure and hence t...
متن کاملThe land-ice contribution to 21st-century dynamic sea level rise
Climate change has the potential to influence global mean sea level through a number of processes including (but not limited to) thermal expansion of the oceans and enhanced land ice melt. In addition to their contribution to global mean sea level change, these two processes (among others) lead to local departures from the global mean sea level change, through a number of mechanisms including t...
متن کاملConsequences of twenty-first century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change
1 There is scientific consensus that unmitigated carbon emissions will lead to global warming of at least several degrees Celsius by 2100 (ref. 1), resulting in high-impact local, regional, and global risks to human society and natural ecosystems2. Despite this consensus, international efforts to address the challenge of global climate change have been and remain limited in scope3. We suggest t...
متن کاملGreenland’s contribution to global sea-level rise by the end of the 21st century
The Greenland ice sheet holds enough water to raise the global sea level with *7 m. Over the last few decades, observations manifest a substantial increase of the mass loss of this ice sheet. Both enhanced melting and increase of the dynamical discharge, associated with calving at the outlet-glacier fronts, are contributing to the mass imbalance. Using a dynamical and thermodynamical ice-sheet ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Frontiers in Earth Science
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2296-6463']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.627648